Basin stability for updating system uncertainties

This abstract has open access
Summary
We propose a new application of the basin stability tool which allows to update the information on the system properties under uncertainties. The concept is presented using classical mechanical setup of coupled pendula, exchanging the energy via the supporting structure. Depending on the support parameters, the model can exhibit different types of co-existing synchronous patterns, as well as remain desynchronized. We calculate basin stability maps of particular behaviours and combine them with prior parameters distributions using Bayesian inference. The obtained posterior results, based on the attractors occurrence, update our knowledge on the system properties in the terms of probabilities.
Abstract ID :
62
Associate Professor
,
Lodz University Of Technology
Professor
,
Lodz University of Technology
11 visits